ARTICLE IN PRESS

PREDICTION OF OIL PALM BUNCHES PRODUCTION USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK

EMANUELLY CANABRAVA MAGALHÃES1*; CARLOS ALBERTO ARAÚJO JÚNIOR2; HELIO GARCIA LEITE1; GIANMARCO GOYCOCHEA CASAS1; JULIANA MACHADO LISBOA3; CARLOS HENRIQUE GARCIA3 AND RODRIGO RABE SALES BICALHO3

DOI: https://doi.org/10.21894/jopr.2025.0041
Received: 12 August 2024   Accepted: 26 May 2025   Published Online: 13 August 2025
ABSTRACT

The study aimed to evaluate the ability of Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) to estimate the current monthly production of oil palm bunches using variables from the forest inventory, climatic elements, water deficit, soil and those related to the registration and management of plantations. The ANN estimated current production with a correlation above 0.6 and an average percentage relative error of around 13.0%, with the variables that gave the greatest contribution to modelling being those related to management, soil, genetic material and the accounting of mature bunches. Climatic variables were not as important, however, due to the influence of the climatic element on oil palm productivity, it is necessary to keep them in the modelling. The ANN demonstrated that it is capable of modelling oil palm production, characterised by high variability, opening opportunities for future studies, combining and using new variables to improve the accuracy of estimates using this tool.

KEYWORDS:


1 Federal University of Viçosa, P. H. Rolfs Avenue, Campus UFV, Viçosa/MG, 36.570-900, Brazil.

2 Federal University of Minas Gerais, Universitária Avenue, Universitário, Institute of Agricultural Sciences, Montes Claros/MG, 39.404-547, Brazil.

3 Agropalma S.A., Road PA 150 s/n Km 74 left, Tailândia/PA, 68.695-000, Brazil.

* Corresponding author e-mail: emanuellymagalhaes1@gmail.com ARTIC